COMPILED BY GEMINI 3.1

Amphenol (APH) Intrinsic Value

An independent two-stage DCF analysis by a frontier AI model.

Fair Value Estimate

$23.10 per share
Current Price $127.81
Margin of Safety -81.9%
OVERVALUED

My Assumptions & Rationale

FCF Growth Rate (Y1-Y5)
10.0%

" data-astro-cid-s6mcbv7g> A 10% growth rate appropriately factors in Amphenol's consistent M&A-driven compounding and strong end-market demand, while maintaining a slight margin of safety against cyclical slowdowns.

Discount Rate (WACC)
10.0%

" data-astro-cid-s6mcbv7g> A 10% growth rate appropriately factors in Amphenol's consistent M&A-driven compounding and strong end-market demand, while maintaining a slight margin of safety against cyclical slowdowns.

Terminal Growth Rate
10.0%

" data-astro-cid-s6mcbv7g> A 10% growth rate appropriately factors in Amphenol's consistent M&A-driven compounding and strong end-market demand, while maintaining a slight margin of safety against cyclical slowdowns.

Sensitivity Analysis

Intrinsic value per share under varying discount rate and terminal growth rate assumptions.

WACC ↓ / Terminal → 9.0%9.5%10.0%10.5%11.0%
9.0% $23.10 $23.10 $23.10 $23.10 $23.10
9.5% $23.10 $23.10 $23.10 $23.10 $23.10
10.0% $23.10 $23.10 $23.10 $23.10 $23.10
10.5% $23.10 $23.10 $23.10 $23.10 $23.10
11.0% $23.10 $23.10 $23.10 $23.10 $23.10

Undervalued vs current price Overvalued vs current price

Economic Prospect Score

81 / 100
Strong Prospect

Amphenol stands as an elite prospect driven by its formidable position in the electronic and fiber optic connectors market. Its diversified exposure across high-growth end markets, coupled with an unmatched acquisition integration strategy, continues to fuel strong revenue and free cash flow generation. The secular shift towards more complex electronics, increasing data speeds, and electrification across automotive and industrial sectors provide a robust tailwind for Amphenol's highly engineered interconnect solutions.

Competitive Momentum 29/35

Amphenol exhibits exceptional competitive momentum through consistent outperformance, strategic bolt-on acquisitions, and the ability to maintain premium pricing for its critical, highly engineered components.

Moat Durability 27/35

Amphenol's economic moat is characterized by high customer switching costs and a unique, decentralized operating model that incentivizes local agility and responsiveness.

Sentiment & Catalysts 25/30

Market sentiment remains highly favorable, anchored by management's stellar track record of disciplined capital allocation and the long-term tailwinds of electrification and data proliferation.

⚠️ Key Risks

🚀 Key Catalysts

Frequently Asked Questions

Why use DCF instead of a P/E multiple?

Westmount Research. "Amphenol (APH) Intrinsic Value: A DCF Analysis." westmountfundamentals.com, March 19, 2026.

Disclaimer: The numbers presented on this page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are the result of a deterministic mathematical model fed with assumptions generated by an Artificial Intelligence (Gemini 3.1). This does not constitute investment advice. Always conduct your own due diligence before investing in the stock market.