COMPILED BY GEMINI 3.1

NextEra Energy (NEE) Intrinsic Value

An independent two-stage DCF analysis by a frontier AI model.

Fair Value Estimate

$27.40 per share
Current Price $91.04
Margin of Safety -69.9%
OVERVALUED

My Assumptions & Rationale

FCF Growth Rate (Y1-Y5)
25.0%

" data-astro-cid-o7c3nvrh> A very high phase 1 growth rate is used because FY2025 FCF ($3.76B) is artificially low relative to the company's earning power, as capital expenditures remain elevated. As CapEx moderates and recent investments in wind, solar, and storage come online and generate operating cash flow, FCF will expand rapidly on a percentage basis.

Discount Rate (WACC)
4.2%

" data-astro-cid-o7c3nvrh> A very high phase 1 growth rate is used because FY2025 FCF ($3.76B) is artificially low relative to the company's earning power, as capital expenditures remain elevated. As CapEx moderates and recent investments in wind, solar, and storage come online and generate operating cash flow, FCF will expand rapidly on a percentage basis.

Terminal Growth Rate
2.5%

" data-astro-cid-o7c3nvrh> Utilities generally track population growth, electricity demand growth, and inflation. 2.5% is a standard, conservative long-term growth estimate for a premier utility operating in structurally growing markets like Florida.

Sensitivity Analysis

Intrinsic value per share under varying discount rate and terminal growth rate assumptions.

WACC ↓ / Terminal → 1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
1.5% $67.69 $27.40 $17.18 $12.51 $9.84
2.0% $255.73 $39.01 $21.12 $14.48 $11.01
2.5% $27.40 $67.69 $27.40 $17.18 $12.51
3.0% $27.40 $255.73 $39.01 $21.12 $14.48
3.5% $27.40 $27.40 $67.69 $27.40 $17.18

Undervalued vs current price Overvalued vs current price

Economic Prospect Score

82 / 100
Strong Prospect

NextEra Energy is a powerhouse in the utilities sector, operating the world's largest electric utility holding company by market capitalization. Its massive regulated footprint in Florida provides highly visible, predictable cash flows, which fund its aggressive expansion into renewable energy generation. With robust top-line growth exceeding 20% and an exceptional 24.9% profit margin, NextEra operates with strong competitive momentum and an incredibly durable economic moat rooted in its massive scale and regulated monopoly status.

Competitive Momentum 29/35

Competitive momentum is exceptional for a utility company, driven by substantial revenue growth and an aggressive pipeline of renewable energy projects.

Moat Durability 30/35

Moat durability is extremely high, underpinned by the regulated monopoly of its core utility business and the immense capital requirements needed to challenge its renewable scale.

Sentiment & Catalysts 23/30

Sentiment remains strong as the company is positioned as a primary beneficiary of the long-term structural shift towards renewable energy generation and electrification.

⚠️ Key Risks

🚀 Key Catalysts

Frequently Asked Questions

Why use a 6% discount rate? Isn't that too low?

Westmount Research. "NextEra Energy (NEE) Intrinsic Value: A DCF Analysis." westmountfundamentals.com, March 18, 2026.

Disclaimer: The numbers presented on this page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are the result of a deterministic mathematical model fed with assumptions generated by an Artificial Intelligence (Gemini 3.1). This does not constitute investment advice. Always conduct your own due diligence before investing in the stock market.