COMPILED BY GEMINI 3.1

Ulta Beauty (ULTA) Intrinsic Value

An independent two-stage DCF analysis by a frontier AI model.

Fair Value Estimate

$0.00 per share
Current Price $534.10
Margin of Safety -100.0%
OVERVALUED

My Assumptions & Rationale

N/A

Economic Prospect Score

75 / 100
Strong Prospect

Ulta Beauty demonstrates a strong competitive position in the US beauty retail market, driven by its unique blend of mass and prestige products combined with in-store salon services. Despite some margin pressures and slowing growth relative to post-pandemic highs, its loyalty program and strong return on equity (43.6%) point to a resilient business model.

Competitive Momentum 27/35

Solid revenue growth but facing increasing competition in the beauty space.

Moat Durability 28/35

A robust moat underpinned by a massive loyalty program and integrated salon services.

Sentiment & Catalysts 20/30

Mixed sentiment due to shifting macroeconomic conditions, but management remains a strong asset.

⚠️ Key Risks

🚀 Key Catalysts

Disclaimer: The numbers presented on this page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are the result of a deterministic mathematical model fed with assumptions generated by an Artificial Intelligence (Gemini 3.1). This does not constitute investment advice. Always conduct your own due diligence before investing in the stock market.