COMPILED BY GEMINI 3.1

U.S. Bancorp (USB) Intrinsic Value

An independent two-stage DCF analysis by a frontier AI model.

Fair Value Estimate

$26.40 per share
Current Price $51.32
Margin of Safety -48.6%
OVERVALUED

My Assumptions & Rationale

Discount Rate (WACC)
10.0%

"> As a mature super-regional bank, explosive growth is unlikely and risky. A 3% growth rate models steady loan growth, stable net interest margins, and ongoing cost controls, tracking slightly above long-term inflation.

Terminal Growth Rate
10.0%

"> As a mature super-regional bank, explosive growth is unlikely and risky. A 3% growth rate models steady loan growth, stable net interest margins, and ongoing cost controls, tracking slightly above long-term inflation.

Sensitivity Analysis

Intrinsic value per share under varying discount rate and terminal growth rate assumptions.

WACC ↓ / Terminal → 9.0%9.5%10.0%10.5%11.0%
9.0% $26.40 $26.40 $26.40 $26.40 $26.40
9.5% $26.40 $26.40 $26.40 $26.40 $26.40
10.0% $26.40 $26.40 $26.40 $26.40 $26.40
10.5% $26.40 $26.40 $26.40 $26.40 $26.40
11.0% $26.40 $26.40 $26.40 $26.40 $26.40

Undervalued vs current price Overvalued vs current price

Economic Prospect Score

62 / 100
Moderate Prospect

U.S. Bancorp maintains a strong position as the 5th-largest bank in the US and the largest in the Midwest, underpinned by massive scale and $11.7 trillion in assets under administration. Its valuation metrics are reasonable with a Forward PE of 9.18 and an operating margin of nearly 39.3%. However, high systemic exposure and a significant debt load temper the near-term outlook for aggressive growth. The bank presents a steady, albeit moderate, forward prospect heavily reliant on steady capital management under leadership like Andrew J. Cecere and Gunjan Kedia.

Competitive Momentum 20/35

U.S. Bancorp holds a formidable regional footprint and benefits from its diversified holding company structure. While revenue and market share are relatively stable, product velocity and outsized growth are constrained by its size and mature operating environment.

Moat Durability 25/35

U.S. Bancorp's economic moat is grounded in significant switching costs and its systemic importance. Its massive asset administration business and established corporate relationships create a highly durable operational base.

Sentiment & Catalysts 17/30

Market sentiment for U.S. Bancorp is grounded in its stability, dividend yield, and experienced leadership team. Catalysts hinge on continued execution within its massive asset administration division and strategic subsidiary acquisitions.

⚠️ Key Risks

🚀 Key Catalysts

Frequently Asked Questions

Why use Operating Cash Flow instead of Free Cash Flow for a bank?

Westmount Research. "U.S. Bancorp (USB) Intrinsic Value: A DCF Analysis." westmountfundamentals.com, 2026-03-19.

Disclaimer: The numbers presented on this page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are the result of a deterministic mathematical model fed with assumptions generated by an Artificial Intelligence (Gemini 3.1). This does not constitute investment advice. Always conduct your own due diligence before investing in the stock market.