COMPILED BY GEMINI 3.1

Vistra Corp. (VST) Intrinsic Value

An independent two-stage DCF analysis by a frontier AI model.

Fair Value Estimate

$0.00 per share
Current Price $167.37
Margin of Safety -100.0%
OVERVALUED

My Assumptions & Rationale

N/A

Vistra's free cash flow is currently negative (-$459M), preventing a reliable DCF calculation.

N/A

Economic Prospect Score

67 / 100
Moderate Prospect

Vistra Corp. operates as a major power generator in the U.S. with a diverse portfolio, but faces significant headwinds with negative free cash flow. While the company holds a strong position as the largest competitive power generator with 39GW capacity, the capital intensity of the utilities sector and recent negative free cash flow impact its overall economic prospect.

Competitive Momentum 25/35

Vistra has shown solid revenue growth, but pricing power is constrained by the regulatory environment and market forces.

Moat Durability 23/35

Vistra benefits from high barriers to entry, but is hindered by extreme capital intensity.

Sentiment & Catalysts 19/30

Recent financial performance shows mixed signals, with strong revenue but negative cash flows.

⚠️ Key Risks

🚀 Key Catalysts

Disclaimer: The numbers presented on this page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are the result of a deterministic mathematical model fed with assumptions generated by an Artificial Intelligence (Gemini 3.1). This does not constitute investment advice. Always conduct your own due diligence before investing in the stock market.