An independent two-stage DCF analysis by a frontier AI model.
Westmount Research. "HCA Healthcare (HCA) Intrinsic Value: A DCF Analysis." westmountfundamentals.com, March 19, 2026.
" data-astro-cid-igrglyo7>Based on a 4.18% 10Y Treasury yield, a 5.5% equity risk premium, and HCA's beta. Weighted average cost of capital incorporates their substantial debt load.
" data-astro-cid-igrglyo7>Assumed perpetual growth rate after year 5. Set at 2.5%, slightly below historical GDP growth, representing a mature, stable state.
Intrinsic value per share under varying discount rate and terminal growth rate assumptions.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5% | $9.24 | $7.70 | $6.60 | $5.78 | $5.13 |
| 2.0% | $10.27 | $8.40 | $7.11 | $6.16 | $5.44 |
| 2.5% | $11.55 | $9.24 | $7.70 | $6.60 | $5.77 |
| 3.0% | $13.20 | $10.27 | $8.40 | $7.11 | $6.16 |
| 3.5% | $15.40 | $11.55 | $9.24 | $7.70 | $6.60 |
■ Undervalued vs current price ■ Overvalued vs current price
HCA Healthcare operates an immense network of 186 hospitals and roughly 2,400 care sites, establishing it as a dominant force in the healthcare facilities industry. The company reported a verified revenue of 75600003072 and over 12636000256 in operating cash flow, underscoring its massive scale and financial muscle. Its robust EBITDA and continued strategic focus on expanding higher-margin outpatient and urgent care centers further solidify its formidable economic moat against competitors.
HCA's competitive momentum remains strong, characterized by consistent revenue growth and an expanding footprint across attractive geographic markets.
HCA's moat is deep and durable, built on immense scale, high capital intensity, and significant regulatory barriers that deter new entrants.
Sentiment around HCA remains generally positive, driven by strong operational execution and shareholder-friendly capital allocation, despite historical compliance issues.
Westmount Research. "HCA Healthcare (HCA) Intrinsic Value: A DCF Analysis." westmountfundamentals.com, March 19, 2026.
Disclaimer: The numbers presented on this page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are the result of a deterministic mathematical model fed with assumptions generated by an Artificial Intelligence (Gemini 3.1). This does not constitute investment advice. Always conduct your own due diligence before investing in the stock market.