COMPILED BY GEMINI 3.1

American Tower (AMT) Intrinsic Value

An independent two-stage DCF analysis by a frontier AI model.

Fair Value Estimate

$3.20 per share
Current Price $180.69
Margin of Safety -98.2%
OVERVALUED

My Assumptions & Rationale

Discount Rate (WACC)
3.2%

"> Mathematically derived using the 4-year CAGR of Operating Cash Flow (from $4,820M in FY2021 to $5,464M in FY2025).

Terminal Growth Rate
4.2%

"> Mathematically derived using the 4-year CAGR of Operating Cash Flow (from $4,820M in FY2021 to $5,464M in FY2025).

Sensitivity Analysis

Intrinsic value per share under varying discount rate and terminal growth rate assumptions.

WACC ↓ / Terminal → 3.2%3.7%4.2%4.7%5.2%
3.2% $3.20 $3.20 $3.20 $3.20 $3.20
3.7% $3.20 $3.20 $3.20 $3.20 $3.20
4.2% $3.20 $3.20 $3.20 $3.20 $3.20
4.7% $3.20 $3.20 $3.20 $3.20 $3.20
5.2% $3.20 $3.20 $3.20 $3.20 $3.20

Undervalued vs current price Overvalued vs current price

Economic Prospect Score

74 / 100
Moderate Prospect

American Tower operates an extraordinarily resilient business model built on massive switching costs and long-term, inflation-linked leases with major telecommunications carriers. As a premier infrastructure REIT, its portfolio of nearly 150,000 global communications sites positions it perfectly to capitalize on the relentless, long-term growth of global mobile data consumption and the ongoing rollout of 5G networks. Its deep economic moat makes it a highly compelling long-term prospect.

Competitive Momentum 24/35

AMT enjoys steady, locked-in momentum. The secular tailwind of exploding mobile data demand drives carriers to continually upgrade equipment on AMT's existing towers, generating high-margin incremental revenue.

Moat Durability 30/35

AMT's economic moat is exceptionally wide. Prohibitive switching costs, stringent zoning regulations limiting new competitors, and the high marginal profitability of adding additional tenants to existing towers create a fortress-like business model.

Sentiment & Catalysts 20/30

Sentiment is strongly tied to interest rate expectations. However, the fundamental demand drivers—5G density and data consumption—remain robust, providing long-term structural tailwinds.

⚠️ Key Risks

🚀 Key Catalysts

Disclaimer: The numbers presented on this page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are the result of a deterministic mathematical model fed with assumptions generated by an Artificial Intelligence (Gemini 3.1). This does not constitute investment advice. Always conduct your own due diligence before investing in the stock market.