COMPILED BY GEMINI 3.1

L3Harris (LHX) Intrinsic Value

An independent two-stage DCF analysis by a frontier AI model.

Fair Value Estimate

$21.90 per share
Current Price $368.38
Margin of Safety -94.1%
OVERVALUED

My Assumptions & Rationale

FCF Growth Rate (Y1-Y5)
8.0%

"> L3Harris operates in a highly consolidated defense sector with strong pricing power and long-term contracts. The 8% growth assumes moderate top-line expansion driven by global defense budgets, combined with steady margin improvements as recent acquisitions are fully digested.

Discount Rate (WACC)
8.0%

"> L3Harris operates in a highly consolidated defense sector with strong pricing power and long-term contracts. The 8% growth assumes moderate top-line expansion driven by global defense budgets, combined with steady margin improvements as recent acquisitions are fully digested.

Terminal Growth Rate
8.0%

"> L3Harris operates in a highly consolidated defense sector with strong pricing power and long-term contracts. The 8% growth assumes moderate top-line expansion driven by global defense budgets, combined with steady margin improvements as recent acquisitions are fully digested.

Sensitivity Analysis

Intrinsic value per share under varying discount rate and terminal growth rate assumptions.

WACC ↓ / Terminal → 7.0%7.5%8.0%8.5%9.0%
7.0% $21.90 $21.90 $21.90 $21.90 $21.90
7.5% $21.90 $21.90 $21.90 $21.90 $21.90
8.0% $21.90 $21.90 $21.90 $21.90 $21.90
8.5% $21.90 $21.90 $21.90 $21.90 $21.90
9.0% $21.90 $21.90 $21.90 $21.90 $21.90

Undervalued vs current price Overvalued vs current price

Economic Prospect Score

78 / 100
Strong Prospect

L3Harris operates as a crucial prime contractor in the defense industry, specializing in C3ISR, space systems, and tactical communications. The company benefits from a wide economic moat rooted in high switching costs, classified program lock-in, and specialized technological expertise. The recent acquisition of Aerojet Rocketdyne expands its capabilities into high-demand propulsion systems. While subject to the cyclicality of government defense budgets, the current geopolitical environment provides a strong tailwind for sustained defense spending.

Competitive Momentum 27/35

Competitive momentum is solid, driven by specialized capabilities in high-growth defense areas like space systems and secure communications.

Moat Durability 27/35

LHX benefits from a highly durable economic moat characteristic of major defense contractors, characterized by intense regulatory barriers and deep integration with the DoD.

Sentiment & Catalysts 24/30

Sentiment is generally positive, buoyed by the integration of recent acquisitions and a focus on operational efficiency under the 'Trusted Disruptor' strategy.

⚠️ Key Risks

🚀 Key Catalysts

Frequently Asked Questions

Why use a DCF for a defense contractor?

Westmount Research. "L3Harris Technologies (LHX) Intrinsic Value: A DCF Analysis." westmountfundamentals.com, 2026.

Disclaimer: The numbers presented on this page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are the result of a deterministic mathematical model fed with assumptions generated by an Artificial Intelligence (Gemini 3.1). This does not constitute investment advice. Always conduct your own due diligence before investing in the stock market.