An independent two-stage DCF analysis by a frontier AI model.
"> Derived mathematically from the historical CAGR of operating cash flows, capped to reflect realistic medium-term expansion in mining production and gold price stabilization.
"> Calculated using CAPM: 10Y Treasury (4.18%) + (Beta × ERP). Reflects the required return demanded by investors for bearing the risk of holding Newmont equity.
"> Assumes 2.5% long-term nominal economic growth. A mature mining company will typically track inflation and global economic expansion in perpetuity.
Intrinsic value per share under varying discount rate and terminal growth rate assumptions.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5% | $27.98 | $22.70 | $19.10 | $16.48 | $14.50 |
| 2.0% | $31.66 | $25.06 | $20.74 | $17.69 | $15.42 |
| 2.5% | $36.46 | $27.98 | $22.70 | $19.10 | $16.48 |
| 3.0% | $42.97 | $31.66 | $25.06 | $20.74 | $17.69 |
| 3.5% | $52.31 | $36.46 | $27.98 | $22.70 | $19.10 |
■ Undervalued vs current price ■ Overvalued vs current price
As the world's largest gold mining corporation, Newmont possesses an unparalleled portfolio of tier-one assets across favorable mining jurisdictions. Strong operating margins provide a defensive profile, but moat durability is limited by commodity fungibility.
Newmont benefits from its massive scale and high-quality gold production profile, though its top line remains heavily tied to macroeconomic commodity cycles.
Newmont's economic moat stems from its massive, irreplaceable portfolio of high-grade mining assets in safe jurisdictions.
Sentiment is largely driven by macroeconomic factors like inflation expectations, interest rates, and geopolitical uncertainty, positioning the stock as a premier safe-haven asset.
Disclaimer: The numbers presented on this page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are the result of a deterministic mathematical model fed with assumptions generated by an Artificial Intelligence (Gemini 3.1). This does not constitute investment advice. Always conduct your own due diligence before investing in the stock market.