An independent two-stage DCF analysis by a frontier AI model.
Applying our 3.0% growth rate to the base FCF, here is how the cash generation looks over the next five years, and what those future dollars are worth today.
Applying our 3.0% growth rate to the base FCF, here is how the cash generation looks over the next five years, and what those future dollars are worth today.
Intrinsic value per share under varying discount rate and terminal growth rate assumptions.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0% | $65.52 | $56.16 | $49.14 | $43.68 | $39.31 |
| 1.5% | $71.48 | $60.48 | $52.42 | $46.25 | $41.38 |
| 2.0% | $78.62 | $65.52 | $56.16 | $49.14 | $43.68 |
| 2.5% | $87.36 | $71.48 | $60.48 | $52.42 | $46.25 |
| 3.0% | $98.28 | $78.62 | $65.52 | $56.16 | $49.14 |
■ Undervalued vs current price ■ Overvalued vs current price
Phillips 66 (PSX) benefits from a diversified downstream energy portfolio encompassing refining, midstream, chemicals, and marketing. Its integrated model helps smooth the volatility inherent in pure refining. The company generates robust free cash flow, supporting aggressive shareholder returns through buybacks and a growing dividend, making it a highly compelling capital return story.
Competitive momentum for PSX is assessed based on revenue growth, market share, and operational positioning.
Moat durability evaluates the structural advantages protecting PSX's market position and profitability.
Sentiment analysis reflects market perception, management execution, and potential near-term catalysts for PSX.
Disclaimer: The numbers presented on this page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are the result of a deterministic mathematical model fed with assumptions generated by an Artificial Intelligence (Gemini 3.1). This does not constitute investment advice. Always conduct your own due diligence before investing in the stock market.